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MLB AI Picks April 15: Codex Debuts, Royals and Mariners-Padres Under Draw 4-AI Consensus

MLB Stadium at night
MLB Stadium at night
Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Five AI models. 27 official picks across the Wednesday slate. Codex joins the competition with a 12u debut card. Royals ML and Mariners-Padres Under both draw 4-AI consensus. All shared markets are standardized to the same DraftKings line.

SEASON: 197-221-25  |  -121.39u
All Lines: DraftKings Sportsbook | Wednesday April 15, 2026

Current Standings (Through April 15 Grading)

1st
Gemini
42-42-4
-18.68u
50.0% Win
2nd
ChatGPT
49-48-7
-20.89u
50.5% Win
3rd
Claude
54-66-9
-36.74u
45.0% Win | 2025 Champion
4th
Grok
50-61-4
-40.78u
45.0% Win | New for 2026
5th
Codex
2-4-1
-4.30u
33.3% Win | Debut Apr 15

Individual AI Boards

ChatGPT

6 Picks | Season: 49-48-7-20.89u YTD
Cubs ML
CHC +113
2u
Royals ML
KC +113
1.5u
Diamondbacks ML
ARI +135
1u
Guardians/Cardinals Over 8.5
O 8.5 (-106)
1.5u
Angels ML
LAA +161
1u
Mariners/Padres Under 8
U 8 (-111)
1u

ChatGPT Card

Total units committed: 8.0u. ChatGPT comes in dog-heavy with the Cubs, Royals, Diamondbacks, and Angels all at plus money. The shared board pieces are Kansas City, Cleveland-St. Louis Over, Los Angeles, and Seattle-San Diego Under.

Claude

6 Picks | Recommended Contest Card | Season: 54-66-9-36.74u YTD
KC Moneyline
KC +113
2u
KC First 5 ML
KC F5 -100
2u
CLE at STL Over 8.5
O 8.5 (-106)
2u
SEA at SD Under 8
U 8 (-111)
2u
MIA at ATL Under 9
U 9 (-105)
2u
BOS Moneyline
BOS -137
1.5u

Claude Card

Total units committed: 11.5u. This uses Claude's recommended contest card, not the larger raw slate. Claude is concentrated and clean: Kansas City side and F5, two full-game unders, the Cleveland-St. Louis Over, and Boston ML.

Gemini

6 Picks | Season: 42-42-4-18.68u YTD
BOS Moneyline
BOS -137
2.5u
KC Moneyline
KC +113
2.0u
TB at CWS Under 8
U 8 (-116)
2.0u
CLE at STL Over 8.5
O 8.5 (-106)
1.5u
SF at CIN Over 9
O 9 (-109)
1.5u
SEA at SD Under 8
U 8 (-111)
1.0u

Gemini Card

Total units committed: 10.5u. Gemini's top position is Boston at 2.5u, then a balanced mix of Kansas City, two overs, two unders, and the same Seattle-San Diego Under that keeps showing up across the room.

Grok

2 Picks | Season: 50-61-4-40.78u YTD
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Around -154 to -163
2u
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline vs Cleveland Guardians
Around -112 to -115
1.5u

Grok Card

Total units committed: 3.5u. Grok's source card gave approximate ranges rather than fixed numbers, so the displayed card keeps that language intact. No fake exact price was created.

Codex

7 Picks | Season: 2-4-1-4.30u YTD
KC Moneyline
KC +113
2.0u
KC First 5 ML
KC F5 -100
2.0u
LAA Moneyline
LAA +161
1.5u
LAA at NYY Over 9.5
O 9.5 (-105)
1.5u
ATL First 5 ML
ATL F5 -156
1.5u
TB Moneyline
TB -120
1.5u
SEA at SD Under 8
U 8 (-111)
2.0u

Codex Card

Total units committed: 12.0u. Best bet: KC First 5 ML -100. Best total: SEA at SD Under 8 -111. Most price sensitive dog: LAA Moneyline +161.

Board Notes

Kansas City is the board's biggest side consensus: ChatGPT takes Royals ML, Gemini has KC Moneyline, Claude has KC Moneyline and KC First 5 ML, and Codex has the same KC side and F5 stack. The shared full-game moneyline is standardized at KC +113, with four AIs committing 7.5 total units to the Royals side before counting the F5 exposure.

SEA at SD Under 8 is the clearest total consensus: ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, and Codex all land on Mariners-Padres Under 8. The shared line is U 8 (-111). Four models, six combined units, one very obvious late-night stress test.

Cleveland-St. Louis gets total agreement but side disagreement: ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude all take CLE at STL Over 8.5 at -106. Grok goes the other way through the side market, taking St. Louis Moneyline around -112 to -115. The board likes runs, but not everyone agrees on who benefits.

Codex enters with the biggest unit card of the day: Seven plays, 12.0u committed, and a clear profile right away. KC First 5 ML is the best bet, SEA at SD Under 8 is the best total, and LAA Moneyline at +161 is the price-sensitive dog. No soft launch. Codex is immediately live in the contest.

Arizona-Baltimore is the cleanest head-to-head conflict: ChatGPT takes Diamondbacks ML at +135, while Grok takes Orioles ML around -154 to -163. That is the day's most direct side split. Grok's range language stays intact because that is how the source card was delivered.

Boston draws two-model support: Gemini makes BOS Moneyline its largest play at 2.5u, while Claude adds BOS Moneyline for 1.5u. Both are listed at BOS -137 to keep the shared market fair.

The Angels are no longer a lonely dog shot: ChatGPT has Angels ML at 1u, and Codex has LAA Moneyline at 1.5u. Both are standardized at LAA +161. Codex also adds LAA at NYY Over 9.5, turning that game into a side-plus-total position.

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