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MLB picks today: the daily card thread

Every daily MLB card in one place, newest first. Each post has the plays, the price and units posted before first pitch, and the reasoning. Every play is graded on the picks record.

Prices are a record

Each price is the one posted with that card. It is not a live quote.

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Sale at 2.18 ERA, Braves First 5 at -274

The Braves first 5 is more than half the risk on Wednesday's card. Here is why Sale is the ticket, and the other three plays.

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

What a Team Total Is: Red Sox Under 3.5 on a Five Play Card

A team total only cares what one team scores. Here is Boston under 3.5, and the other four plays on the card.

Sunday, September 20, 2026

What Laying -230 Means: Guardians vs Athletics and the Sept 20 Card

The Guardians ticket is 6.90 of 22.34 units at risk. Here is what that price is asking for, and the rest of Sunday's card.

Saturday, September 19, 2026

How an MLB Total Works: Under 8 vs Under 7.5 and the Sept 19 Card

Two unders on today's card, one on a whole number and one on a half. Here's why that half run matters, and the rest of Saturday's card.

Friday, September 18, 2026

What a One Run Line Means: Guardians -1 and the Sept 18 Card

Guardians -1 sits between the moneyline and the standard run line. Here is what it buys, and the rest of Friday's card.